| If
action has consequences, so does inaction. The Bush administration
is receiving harsh criticism—some of it deserved—for
its actions in Iraq. The sadistic abuse of the Iraqi prisoners
cannot be justified. But the attacks on America’s policy
in Iraq are short-sighted, because they fault the administration
for undertaking costly actions when the costs of inaction
would have been greater.
How many lives could have been saved if America and Britain
had taken action to stop Hitler before he became so strong
and then, in 1939, invaded Poland? That was a case when action
could have averted an entire world war. More recently, in
the mid 1990s, the inaction of the United States and the United
Nations in Rwanda (see sidebar) resulted in the Hutu extermination
of hundreds of thousands of Tutsis. Once again, many global
tears were shed after the fact for an event that could have
been stopped at the very beginning.
In Iraq, consider this grim reality. If all the conditions
specified by the critics of American policy could be met—if
America had not invaded but rather waited—then Saddam
Hussein would still be in power today. In short, the Iraqi
people would still be at the mercy of this bloodthirsty tyrant,
who during his 23 year reign murdered over 300,000 of his
own people. Is this what the critics of America’s policy
really want? Then they should call for Saddam to be returned
to power! He’s around. No doubt he would be willing.
Perhaps
inaction would have been too high a price to pay. But reasonable
people may demand that action, however preferable, be justified
for the costs that it imposes, both in terms of money and
in terms of lives lost. To such people I offer the following
twofold rationale for America’s invasion and occupation
(there is no need to flinch from these terms) of Iraq.
First, the Bush administration acted because it recognized
after September 11 that the greatest terrorist threat to America
does not come from Al Qaeda. In reality, Al Qaeda is the second
greatest terrorist threat faced by the United States. The
reason is that a bunch of men flying planes into buildings
can kill several hundred or a few thousand people, but they
cannot kill a hundred thousand. Or five hundred thousand.
Or a million.
The greatest threat facing America today comes from a nuclear-tipped
terrorism, or a biologically-tipped terrorism, or chemical
weapons used on a mass scale. As President Bush argued, the
magnitude of destruction launched by weapons of mass destruction
justifies a nation taking pre-emptive action against a perceived
rogue state that is pursuing such weapons.
Last October the U.S. led Proliferation Security Initiative
seized thousands of centrifuge parts on their way to Libya,
convincing Gadhafi to give up his nuclear program. Then Pakistan’s
former nuclear chief, AQ Khan admitted to selling nuclear
secrets to Libya, Iran and North Korea, uncovering a large
nuclear black market. This past Sunday the New York Times
reported evidence gathered by the U.N. atomic agency suggesting
that North Korea provided Libya with 2 tons of uranium once
thought to have come from Pakistan.
What we now know is that Gadhafi was continuing to buy nuclear-related
equipment more than six months after Libya began talks with
Britain and the U.S. about shutting down their weapons programs.
Since then Libya has disclosed having stockpiles of 20 tons
of deadly mustard gas and other chemical agents used in the
manufacture of sarin and other toxins. Action put an end to
Gadhafi’s nuclear ambitions.
So far we haven’t found any weapons of mass destruction
in Iraq, and maybe there were none to be found. Maybe Bush
and the U.S. Congress were misinformed. But even so, it is
unfair and unreasonable to use the privilege of hindsight
and criticize political leaders for failing to take into account
information that is available to us now, but was not available
to them then. Bush and the U.S. Congress were united in their
decision to put an end to the emerging weapons threat developing
in the middle east. They made the best decision under the
circumstances, and this is the most that can be asked of our
national leaders. Even today there is surprising consensus
of opinion regarding Iraq within our national leadership.
On Wednesday the New York Times reported that the Iraq policies
of both Bush and Kerry share many similarities. They both
support the June 30 transition to civilian power, an increase
in U.S. troops if necessary, and no deadline for bringing
our troops home. Both seek greater involvement of the international
community.
There is also a second rationale for America’s Iraq
policy that remains as valid today as it was on the day U.S.
troops crossed the border into Iraq. America is attempting
something quite unprecedented and marvelous. We are trying
to see if the seed of democracy can be planted in a part of
the world that has never really known it.
If it takes root, then Iraq can be a model for democracy in
the Arab world. And if democracy spreads to countries like
Iran and Egypt and Jordan and Syria, we could see an historical
transformation no less spectacular than the transformation
of the old Soviet Union. Would this kind of outcome not justify
a considerable exertion of American will, and patience, and
resources, and effort? Of course it would.
America’s attempt to bring democracy to Iraq is, of
course, risky, and expensive, and dangerous, and faces resistance.
It is, I admit, an experiment. It could fail. But I have much
more admiration for those who are willing to try, than for
those timid souls who would rather cut and run, strengthening
the hand of America’s enemies and abandoning the Iraqi
people to the rule of Islamic fanatics and former Saddam loyalists.
In Iraq and the Middle East, as in many other great challenges
(remember World War II? Remember the cold war?) success for
America will not come easily and once again it comes with
a steep price tag. But what is the price of failure? |