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Last
night during his State of the Union address, President Bush reminded
the American people that "different threats require different
strategies". Critics of the U.S. policy toward Iraq cynically
ask why America is targeting Saddam Hussein's regime while not extending
the same hostile treatment to North Korea? The critics point out
that while Saddam Hussein is accused of seeking weapons of mass
destruction, especially nuclear weapons, North Korea has publicly
declared that it already has the capacity to build nuclear weapons.
North Korea, like Iraq, is ruled by a brutal dictatorship that seems
to have little regard for international law or human rights. Moreover,
President Bush included both Iraq and North Korea in his "axis
of evil" speech following the 9/11 attacks. Why, the critics
ask, is the U.S. pursuing diplomatic solutions with North Korea
while it sounds the war trumpets against Iraq?
The
critics deserve a response. But for the response to make sense,
we must understand a basic truth about statesmanship and foreign
policy. Statesmanship is not the same thing as moral philosophy.
The statesman must act in the real world. This means he must find
the meeting point between two things: what it is good to do, and
what can reasonably be accomplished. In World War II, for example,
America allied with Stalin in opposing Hitler even though both men
were evil. The reason for this was that Hitler posed a more mortal
threat at the time. Statesmanship should be based on moral considerations,
but statesmanship is morality tempered by prudence.
Now
consider the situation in North Korea. Precisely because North Korea
has nuclear weapons, it is much more difficult for the United States
or anyone else to disarm that nation. Once a country goes nuclear,
it becomes far more dangerous to its enemies, who must now consider
the risks of a nuclear response. The case of North Korea illustrates
the point that if Iraq is permitted to go ahead and develop nuclear
weapons, then Saddam Hussein will be vastly more difficult to deal
with in the future. For all practical purposes, he would be untouchable.
There
are dictators in the world, and there are madmen. North Korea is
a dictatorship of a species that we recognize. We have seen it before
in the Soviet Union, we see it now in China. North Korea is the
little cousin of this ghastly fraternity. Its leaders are ruthless,
and they invoke socialist and communist ideology to justify their
iron grip on power. All of this is depressingly true. Yet the West
has been successful in deterring communist regimes of this sort
for more than half a century. Even though the Soviets had thousands
of nuclear warheads, even though China has a nuclear arsenal, these
regimes are governed by rational people who want to expand their
international influence but who understand the traditional logic
of deterrence. North Korea is not likely to use its nuclear weapons
if the understood consequence would be massive retaliation against
that country and the complete destruction of its leadership. So
why are they disclosing their nuclear program now, right in the
midst of the Iraqi crisis. Is Bush right in suggesting that "North
Korea is using the threat of nuclear weapons to incite fear and
gain concessions"? Bush may deny it, but their taunt may serve
their goal of securing a non-aggression treaty with the US.
By
contrast, Saddam Hussein is a different kind of animal. He is not
a madman in the sense that he is incapable of mindful action. Whether
he has a "martyr complex" like the 19 Al Qaeda terrorists
is debatable. What we do know is that Saddam is fully capable of
using weapons of mass destruction. He has already used chemical
and biological weapons against his domestic opponents. The recent
report to the Security Council identifies chemical weapons known
to be part of the Iraqi arsenal that they have not accounted for
or shown evidence of their destruction. Who can doubt that he would
use his nuclear capacity to threaten Israel and the West? Who can
deny that Saddam would, if he could, collaborate secretly with terrorists
to wreak massive destruction on America? The civilized world cannot
afford a nuclear-armed Saddam.
Even
though both regimes are evil, there are important differences between
North Korea and Iraq, and American policy is right to distinguish
between them.
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